Scout Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 22.17

UMBMX Fund  USD 27.79  0.31  1.10%   
Scout Mid's future price is the expected price of Scout Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scout Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scout Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Scout Mid Correlation, Scout Mid Hype Analysis, Scout Mid Volatility, Scout Mid History as well as Scout Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Scout Mid's target price for which you would like Scout Mid odds to be computed.

Scout Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 22.17

The tendency of Scout Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 22.17  in 90 days
 27.79 90 days 22.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scout Mid to stay above $ 22.17  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Scout Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Scout Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scout Mid Cap price to stay between $ 22.17  and its current price of $27.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Scout Mid has a beta of 0.93. This usually implies Scout Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Scout Mid is expected to follow. Additionally Scout Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0656, implying that it can generate a 0.0656 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scout Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scout Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scout Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.0127.7928.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0129.8130.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4427.2228.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.6327.4829.34
Details

Scout Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scout Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scout Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scout Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scout Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Scout Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scout Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scout Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.33% of its net assets in stocks

Scout Mid Technical Analysis

Scout Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scout Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scout Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scout Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scout Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Scout Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scout Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scout Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scout Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scout Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scout Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.33% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Scout Mutual Fund

Scout Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scout Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scout with respect to the benefits of owning Scout Mid security.
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