Cornerstone Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.49

UCEQX Fund  USD 18.58  0.13  0.69%   
Cornerstone Equity's future price is the expected price of Cornerstone Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cornerstone Equity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cornerstone Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cornerstone Equity Correlation, Cornerstone Equity Hype Analysis, Cornerstone Equity Volatility, Cornerstone Equity History as well as Cornerstone Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Cornerstone Equity's target price for which you would like Cornerstone Equity odds to be computed.

Cornerstone Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 15.49

The tendency of Cornerstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.49  or more in 90 days
 18.58 90 days 15.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cornerstone Equity to drop to $ 15.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cornerstone Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Cornerstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cornerstone Equity price to stay between $ 15.49  and its current price of $18.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cornerstone Equity has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Cornerstone Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cornerstone Equity Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cornerstone Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.0214, implying that it can generate a 0.0214 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cornerstone Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cornerstone Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cornerstone Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.9918.5819.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9218.5119.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0518.6419.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8818.3718.86
Details

Cornerstone Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cornerstone Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cornerstone Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cornerstone Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cornerstone Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Cornerstone Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cornerstone Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cornerstone Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.64% of its net assets in stocks

Cornerstone Equity Technical Analysis

Cornerstone Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cornerstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cornerstone Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cornerstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cornerstone Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Cornerstone Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cornerstone Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cornerstone Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cornerstone Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cornerstone Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cornerstone Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.64% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Cornerstone Mutual Fund

Cornerstone Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cornerstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cornerstone with respect to the benefits of owning Cornerstone Equity security.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm