TWZ Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.44
| TWZ Stock | THB 0.03 0.01 25.00% |
TWZ |
TWZ Public Target Price Odds to finish over 51.44
The tendency of TWZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 51.44 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 51.44 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TWZ Public to move over 51.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TWZ Public probability density function shows the probability of TWZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TWZ Public price to stay between its current price of 0.03 and 51.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TWZ Public has a beta of -3.21. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding TWZ Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, TWZ Public is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover TWZ Public has an alpha of 1.66, implying that it can generate a 1.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TWZ Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TWZ Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TWZ Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TWZ Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TWZ Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TWZ Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TWZ Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TWZ Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
TWZ Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TWZ Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TWZ Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TWZ Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| TWZ Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TWZ Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has 223.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| TWZ Public has accumulated about 325.84 M in cash with (157.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TWZ Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TWZ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TWZ Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TWZ Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 B |
TWZ Public Technical Analysis
TWZ Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TWZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TWZ Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing TWZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TWZ Public Predictive Forecast Models
TWZ Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many TWZ Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TWZ Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TWZ Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about TWZ Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TWZ Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TWZ Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| TWZ Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TWZ Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has 223.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| TWZ Public has accumulated about 325.84 M in cash with (157.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TWZ Stock
TWZ Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether TWZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TWZ with respect to the benefits of owning TWZ Public security.