Alibaba Health (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.45
| TWY Stock | 0.44 0.02 4.35% |
Alibaba |
Alibaba Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.45
The tendency of Alibaba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.45 after 90 days |
| 0.44 | 90 days | 0.45 | about 44.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alibaba Health to stay under 0.45 after 90 days from now is about 44.96 (This Alibaba Health Information probability density function shows the probability of Alibaba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alibaba Health Infor price to stay between its current price of 0.44 and 0.45 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alibaba Health has a beta of 0.0818. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Alibaba Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alibaba Health Information will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alibaba Health Information has an alpha of 0.696, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alibaba Health Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Alibaba Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alibaba Health Infor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alibaba Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alibaba Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alibaba Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alibaba Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alibaba Health Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alibaba Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Alibaba Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alibaba Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alibaba Health Infor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alibaba Health Infor is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alibaba Health Infor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alibaba Health Infor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alibaba Health Infor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 20.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 B. | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Alibaba Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alibaba Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alibaba Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alibaba Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.5 B |
Alibaba Health Technical Analysis
Alibaba Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alibaba Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alibaba Health Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alibaba Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alibaba Health Predictive Forecast Models
Alibaba Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alibaba Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alibaba Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alibaba Health Infor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alibaba Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alibaba Health Infor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alibaba Health Infor is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alibaba Health Infor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alibaba Health Infor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alibaba Health Infor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 20.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 B. | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Alibaba Stock Analysis
When running Alibaba Health's price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Health is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.