Two Harbors Investments Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 23.89
| TWO-P-C Preferred Stock | 24.87 0.05 0.20% |
Two |
Two Harbors Target Price Odds to finish below 23.89
The tendency of Two Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.89 or more in 90 days |
| 24.87 | 90 days | 23.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Two Harbors to drop to 23.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Two Harbors Investments probability density function shows the probability of Two Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Two Harbors Investments price to stay between 23.89 and its current price of 24.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Two Harbors Investments has a beta of -0.0103. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Two Harbors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Two Harbors Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Two Harbors Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Two Harbors Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Two Harbors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Two Harbors Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Two Harbors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Two Harbors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Two Harbors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Two Harbors Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Two Harbors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Two Harbors Technical Analysis
Two Harbors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Two Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Two Harbors Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Two Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Two Harbors Predictive Forecast Models
Two Harbors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Two Harbors' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Two Harbors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Two Harbors in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Two Harbors' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Two Harbors options trading.