True Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.05
| TRUE Stock | THB 11.80 0.30 2.48% |
True |
True Public Target Price Odds to finish below 7.05
The tendency of True Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.05 or more in 90 days |
| 11.80 | 90 days | 7.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of True Public to drop to 7.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This True Public probability density function shows the probability of True Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of True Public price to stay between 7.05 and its current price of 11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon True Public has a beta of -0.0888. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding True Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, True Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally True Public has an alpha of 0.2224, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). True Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for True Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as True Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.True Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. True Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the True Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold True Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of True Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
True Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of True Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for True Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| True Public has accumulated 192.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.53, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. True Public has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist True Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, True Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like True Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for True to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about True Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 143.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.18 B. | |
| About 37.0% of True Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
True Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of True Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential True Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. True Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.3 B |
True Public Technical Analysis
True Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. True Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of True Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing True Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
True Public Predictive Forecast Models
True Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many True Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary True Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about True Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about True Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for True Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| True Public has accumulated 192.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.53, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. True Public has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist True Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, True Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like True Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for True to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about True Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 143.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.18 B. | |
| About 37.0% of True Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in True Stock
True Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether True Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in True with respect to the benefits of owning True Public security.