Thai Rubber (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.09

TRUBB Stock  THB 1.05  0.02  1.87%   
Thai Rubber's future price is the expected price of Thai Rubber instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai Rubber Latex performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai Rubber Backtesting, Thai Rubber Valuation, Thai Rubber Correlation, Thai Rubber Hype Analysis, Thai Rubber Volatility, Thai Rubber History as well as Thai Rubber Performance.
  
Please specify Thai Rubber's target price for which you would like Thai Rubber odds to be computed.

Thai Rubber Target Price Odds to finish below 1.09

The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1.09  after 90 days
 1.05 90 days 1.09 
about 42.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Rubber to stay under  1.09  after 90 days from now is about 42.64 (This Thai Rubber Latex probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Rubber Latex price to stay between its current price of  1.05  and  1.09  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai Rubber has a beta of 0.5. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thai Rubber average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thai Rubber Latex will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thai Rubber Latex has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thai Rubber Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai Rubber

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Rubber Latex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.053.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.093.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thai Rubber. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thai Rubber's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thai Rubber's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thai Rubber Latex.

Thai Rubber Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Rubber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Rubber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Rubber Latex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Rubber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Thai Rubber Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Rubber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Rubber Latex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Rubber Latex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thai Rubber Latex has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thai Rubber Latex has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Thai Rubber Latex has accumulated 842.29 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 222.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Thai Rubber Latex has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Thai Rubber until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Thai Rubber's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Thai Rubber Latex sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Thai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Thai Rubber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Thai Rubber outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai Rubber Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Rubber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Rubber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding817.8 M

Thai Rubber Technical Analysis

Thai Rubber's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Rubber Latex. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai Rubber Predictive Forecast Models

Thai Rubber's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Rubber's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Rubber's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai Rubber Latex

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Rubber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Rubber Latex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Rubber Latex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thai Rubber Latex has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thai Rubber Latex has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Thai Rubber Latex has accumulated 842.29 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 222.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Thai Rubber Latex has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Thai Rubber until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Thai Rubber's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Thai Rubber Latex sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Thai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Thai Rubber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Thai Rubber outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Rubber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Rubber security.