Tpg Re Finance Preferred Stock Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 12.97
| TRTX-PC Preferred Stock | 19.11 0.09 0.47% |
TPG |
TPG RE Target Price Odds to finish below 12.97
The tendency of TPG Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.97 or more in 90 days |
| 19.11 | 90 days | 12.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPG RE to drop to 12.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TPG RE Finance probability density function shows the probability of TPG Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TPG RE Finance price to stay between 12.97 and its current price of 19.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPG RE Finance has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TPG RE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TPG RE Finance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TPG RE Finance has an alpha of 0.0812, implying that it can generate a 0.0812 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TPG RE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TPG RE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPG RE Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TPG RE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPG RE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPG RE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPG RE Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPG RE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
TPG RE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPG RE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPG RE Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TPG RE Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 156.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.03 M). |
TPG RE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TPG Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TPG RE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG RE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 B |
TPG RE Technical Analysis
TPG RE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TPG Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TPG RE Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing TPG Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TPG RE Predictive Forecast Models
TPG RE's time-series forecasting models is one of many TPG RE's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TPG RE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TPG RE Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about TPG RE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TPG RE Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TPG RE Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 156.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.03 M). |
Other Information on Investing in TPG Preferred Stock
TPG RE financial ratios help investors to determine whether TPG Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TPG with respect to the benefits of owning TPG RE security.