Trillion Energy International Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0006
| TRLEF Stock | USD 0.03 0.0002 0.69% |
Trillion |
Trillion Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0006
The tendency of Trillion OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.0006 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trillion Energy to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Trillion Energy International probability density function shows the probability of Trillion OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trillion Energy Inte price to stay between $ 0.0006 and its current price of $0.0291 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trillion Energy International has a beta of -1.59. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Trillion Energy International are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Trillion Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Trillion Energy International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Trillion Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trillion Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trillion Energy Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trillion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trillion Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trillion Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trillion Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trillion Energy International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trillion Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Trillion Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trillion Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trillion Energy Inte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trillion Energy Inte generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 151.63 K. | |
| Trillion Energy International has accumulated about 23.5 M in cash with (1.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Trillion Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trillion OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trillion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trillion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 630.5 K | |
| Shares Float | 359.2 M |
Trillion Energy Technical Analysis
Trillion Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trillion OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trillion Energy International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trillion OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trillion Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Trillion Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trillion Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trillion Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trillion Energy Inte
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trillion Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trillion Energy Inte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trillion Energy Inte generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trillion Energy Inte has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 151.63 K. | |
| Trillion Energy International has accumulated about 23.5 M in cash with (1.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Trillion OTC Stock
Trillion Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trillion OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trillion with respect to the benefits of owning Trillion Energy security.