Trupanion (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.99
| TPW Stock | EUR 50.76 0.74 1.44% |
Trupanion |
Trupanion Target Price Odds to finish below 53.99
The tendency of Trupanion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 53.99 after 90 days |
| 50.76 | 90 days | 53.99 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trupanion to stay under € 53.99 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Trupanion probability density function shows the probability of Trupanion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trupanion price to stay between its current price of € 50.76 and € 53.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trupanion has a beta of 0.34. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trupanion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trupanion will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trupanion has an alpha of 0.3773, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trupanion Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trupanion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trupanion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trupanion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trupanion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trupanion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trupanion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trupanion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Trupanion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trupanion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trupanion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trupanion had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 905.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.69 M. | |
| Trupanion has accumulated about 92.09 M in cash with (8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.65. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Trupanion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trupanion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trupanion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trupanion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41 M |
Trupanion Technical Analysis
Trupanion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trupanion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trupanion. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trupanion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trupanion Predictive Forecast Models
Trupanion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trupanion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trupanion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trupanion
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trupanion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trupanion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trupanion had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 905.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.69 M. | |
| Trupanion has accumulated about 92.09 M in cash with (8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.65. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Trupanion Stock
When determining whether Trupanion is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Trupanion Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Trupanion Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Trupanion Stock:Check out Trupanion Backtesting, Trupanion Valuation, Trupanion Correlation, Trupanion Hype Analysis, Trupanion Volatility, Trupanion History as well as Trupanion Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Trupanion Stock please use our How to Invest in Trupanion guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.