Timothy Plan Market Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 24.15
| TPMN Etf | 23.86 0.19 0.80% |
Timothy |
Timothy Plan Target Price Odds to finish over 24.15
The tendency of Timothy Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 24.15 or more in 90 days |
| 23.86 | 90 days | 24.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Plan to move over 24.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Timothy Plan Market probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Plan Market price to stay between its current price of 23.86 and 24.15 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Timothy Plan Market has a beta of -0.0648. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Timothy Plan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Timothy Plan Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Timothy Plan Market has an alpha of 0.0232, implying that it can generate a 0.0232 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Timothy Plan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Plan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Plan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Plan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Plan Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Plan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Timothy Plan Technical Analysis
Timothy Plan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Plan Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timothy Plan Predictive Forecast Models
Timothy Plan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Plan's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Plan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Timothy Plan in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Timothy Plan's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Timothy Plan options trading.
Check out Timothy Plan Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Timothy Plan Correlation, Timothy Plan Hype Analysis, Timothy Plan Volatility, Timothy Plan History as well as Timothy Plan Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
The market value of Timothy Plan Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timothy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timothy Plan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timothy Plan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timothy Plan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timothy Plan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Plan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Plan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Plan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.