Talon Energy Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0495
| TPDDFDelisted Stock | USD 0.05 0.00 0.00% |
Talon |
Talon Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0495
The tendency of Talon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.05 in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 68.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talon Energy to stay above $ 0.05 in 90 days from now is about 68.01 (This Talon Energy probability density function shows the probability of Talon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Talon Energy price to stay between $ 0.05 and its current price of $0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Talon Energy has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Talon Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Talon Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Talon Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Talon Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talon Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talon Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Talon Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Talon Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talon Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talon Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talon Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talon Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.79 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Talon Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talon Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talon Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talon Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Talon Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talon Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.66 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 K. | |
| Talon Energy has accumulated about 10.92 M in cash with (2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Talon Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talon Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talon Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 B |
Talon Energy Technical Analysis
Talon Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talon Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Talon Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Talon Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Talon Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talon Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Talon Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talon Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talon Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Talon Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Talon Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talon Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.66 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 K. | |
| Talon Energy has accumulated about 10.92 M in cash with (2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Other Consideration for investing in Talon Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Talon Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Talon Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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