Tempur Sealy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.59
TPD Stock | EUR 53.50 1.50 2.88% |
Tempur |
Tempur Sealy Target Price Odds to finish over 55.59
The tendency of Tempur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 55.59 or more in 90 days |
53.50 | 90 days | 55.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tempur Sealy to move over 55.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tempur Sealy International probability density function shows the probability of Tempur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tempur Sealy Interna price to stay between its current price of 53.50 and 55.59 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tempur Sealy has a beta of 0.65. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tempur Sealy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tempur Sealy International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tempur Sealy International has an alpha of 0.2573, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tempur Sealy Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Tempur Sealy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tempur Sealy Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tempur Sealy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tempur Sealy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tempur Sealy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tempur Sealy International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tempur Sealy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Tempur Sealy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tempur Sealy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tempur Sealy Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Tempur Sealy Interna has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Tempur Sealy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tempur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tempur Sealy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tempur Sealy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 170.4 M |
Tempur Sealy Technical Analysis
Tempur Sealy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tempur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tempur Sealy International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tempur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tempur Sealy Predictive Forecast Models
Tempur Sealy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tempur Sealy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tempur Sealy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tempur Sealy Interna
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tempur Sealy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tempur Sealy Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tempur Sealy Interna has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Tempur Stock
When determining whether Tempur Sealy Interna offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tempur Sealy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tempur Sealy International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tempur Sealy International Stock:Check out Tempur Sealy Backtesting, Tempur Sealy Valuation, Tempur Sealy Correlation, Tempur Sealy Hype Analysis, Tempur Sealy Volatility, Tempur Sealy History as well as Tempur Sealy Performance. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.