TPC Power (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.83
| TPCH Stock | THB 4.68 0.10 2.09% |
TPC |
TPC Power Target Price Odds to finish below 3.83
The tendency of TPC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.83 or more in 90 days |
| 4.68 | 90 days | 3.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPC Power to drop to 3.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TPC Power Holding probability density function shows the probability of TPC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TPC Power Holding price to stay between 3.83 and its current price of 4.68 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPC Power has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TPC Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TPC Power Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TPC Power Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TPC Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TPC Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPC Power Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TPC Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPC Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPC Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPC Power Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPC Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
TPC Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPC Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPC Power Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TPC Power Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TPC Power Holding has accumulated 4.41 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TPC Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TPC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TPC Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPC Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 401.2 M |
TPC Power Technical Analysis
TPC Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TPC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TPC Power Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing TPC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TPC Power Predictive Forecast Models
TPC Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many TPC Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TPC Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TPC Power Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about TPC Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TPC Power Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TPC Power Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TPC Power Holding has accumulated 4.41 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TPC Stock
TPC Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether TPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TPC with respect to the benefits of owning TPC Power security.