Touchwood Entertainment (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 163.89
| TOUCHWOOD | 159.74 0.61 0.38% |
Touchwood |
Touchwood Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 163.89
The tendency of Touchwood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 163.89 after 90 days |
| 159.74 | 90 days | 163.89 | about 87.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchwood Entertainment to stay under 163.89 after 90 days from now is about 87.73 (This Touchwood Entertainment Limited probability density function shows the probability of Touchwood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Touchwood Entertainment price to stay between its current price of 159.74 and 163.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Touchwood Entertainment has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Touchwood Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Touchwood Entertainment Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Touchwood Entertainment Limited has an alpha of 0.0982, implying that it can generate a 0.0982 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Touchwood Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Touchwood Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchwood Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Touchwood Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchwood Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchwood Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchwood Entertainment Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchwood Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Touchwood Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchwood Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchwood Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Touchwood Entertainment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Touchwood Entertainment Limited has accumulated about 20.79 M in cash with (24.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Touchwood Enter Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 3.95 crore, up 4.04 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Touchwood Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Touchwood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Touchwood Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Touchwood Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 266.8 M |
Touchwood Entertainment Technical Analysis
Touchwood Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchwood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchwood Entertainment Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchwood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Touchwood Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
Touchwood Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchwood Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Touchwood Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Touchwood Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchwood Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchwood Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Touchwood Entertainment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Touchwood Entertainment Limited has accumulated about 20.79 M in cash with (24.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Touchwood Enter Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 3.95 crore, up 4.04 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Touchwood Stock
Touchwood Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchwood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchwood with respect to the benefits of owning Touchwood Entertainment security.