TransAtlantic Petroleum Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.38
| TNPDelisted Stock | USD 29.28 0.26 0.88% |
TransAtlantic |
TransAtlantic Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish below 28.38
The tendency of TransAtlantic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 28.38 or more in 90 days |
| 29.28 | 90 days | 28.38 | about 57.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TransAtlantic Petroleum to drop to $ 28.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.22 (This TransAtlantic Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of TransAtlantic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TransAtlantic Petroleum price to stay between $ 28.38 and its current price of $29.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TransAtlantic Petroleum has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TransAtlantic Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TransAtlantic Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TransAtlantic Petroleum has an alpha of 0.2052, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TransAtlantic Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TransAtlantic Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAtlantic Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TransAtlantic Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TransAtlantic Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TransAtlantic Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TransAtlantic Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TransAtlantic Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
TransAtlantic Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TransAtlantic Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TransAtlantic Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TransAtlantic Petroleum is now traded under the symbol TEN. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum has 1.6 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.13, which is OK given its current industry classification. TransAtlantic Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.88, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist TransAtlantic Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TransAtlantic Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TransAtlantic Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TransAtlantic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TransAtlantic Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 27.0% of TransAtlantic Petroleum outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TransAtlantic Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TransAtlantic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TransAtlantic Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TransAtlantic Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 376.7 M |
TransAtlantic Petroleum Technical Analysis
TransAtlantic Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TransAtlantic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TransAtlantic Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing TransAtlantic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TransAtlantic Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
TransAtlantic Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many TransAtlantic Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TransAtlantic Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TransAtlantic Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about TransAtlantic Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TransAtlantic Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TransAtlantic Petroleum is now traded under the symbol TEN. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| TransAtlantic Petroleum has 1.6 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.13, which is OK given its current industry classification. TransAtlantic Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.88, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist TransAtlantic Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TransAtlantic Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TransAtlantic Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TransAtlantic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TransAtlantic Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 27.0% of TransAtlantic Petroleum outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in TransAtlantic Stock
If you are still planning to invest in TransAtlantic Petroleum check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the TransAtlantic Petroleum's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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