Thai Mitsuwa (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.10
| TMW Stock | THB 63.25 0.50 0.80% |
Thai |
Thai Mitsuwa Target Price Odds to finish below 62.10
The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 62.10 or more in 90 days |
| 63.25 | 90 days | 62.10 | about 21.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Mitsuwa to drop to 62.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.21 (This Thai Mitsuwa Public probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Mitsuwa Public price to stay between 62.10 and its current price of 63.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai Mitsuwa has a beta of 0.46. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thai Mitsuwa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thai Mitsuwa Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thai Mitsuwa Public has an alpha of 0.0824, implying that it can generate a 0.0824 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thai Mitsuwa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thai Mitsuwa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Mitsuwa Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thai Mitsuwa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Mitsuwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Mitsuwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Mitsuwa Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Mitsuwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Thai Mitsuwa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Mitsuwa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Mitsuwa Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Thai Mitsuwa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Mitsuwa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Mitsuwa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M |
Thai Mitsuwa Technical Analysis
Thai Mitsuwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Mitsuwa Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thai Mitsuwa Predictive Forecast Models
Thai Mitsuwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Mitsuwa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Mitsuwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thai Mitsuwa Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Mitsuwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Mitsuwa Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock
Thai Mitsuwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Mitsuwa security.