PT Temas (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 140.0
| TMAS Stock | IDR 138.00 2.00 1.43% |
TMAS |
PT Temas Target Price Odds to finish below 140.0
The tendency of TMAS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 140.00 after 90 days |
| 138.00 | 90 days | 140.00 | about 20.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Temas to stay under 140.00 after 90 days from now is about 20.5 (This PT Temas Tbk probability density function shows the probability of TMAS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Temas Tbk price to stay between its current price of 138.00 and 140.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Temas Tbk has a beta of -0.36. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Temas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Temas Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Temas Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PT Temas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Temas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Temas Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Temas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Temas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Temas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Temas Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Temas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
PT Temas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Temas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Temas Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Temas Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Temas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TMAS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Temas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Temas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 687 B |
PT Temas Technical Analysis
PT Temas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TMAS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Temas Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing TMAS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Temas Predictive Forecast Models
PT Temas' time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Temas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Temas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Temas Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Temas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Temas Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Temas Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TMAS Stock
PT Temas financial ratios help investors to determine whether TMAS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TMAS with respect to the benefits of owning PT Temas security.