Techno Medical (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.85

TM Stock  THB 1.10  0.04  3.77%   
Techno Medical's future price is the expected price of Techno Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Techno Medical Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Techno Medical Backtesting, Techno Medical Valuation, Techno Medical Correlation, Techno Medical Hype Analysis, Techno Medical Volatility, Techno Medical History as well as Techno Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Techno Medical's target price for which you would like Techno Medical odds to be computed.

Techno Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 1.85

The tendency of Techno Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.85  or more in 90 days
 1.10 90 days 1.85 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techno Medical to move over  1.85  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Techno Medical Public probability density function shows the probability of Techno Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Techno Medical Public price to stay between its current price of  1.10  and  1.85  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Techno Medical has a beta of 0.45. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Techno Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Techno Medical Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Techno Medical Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Techno Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Techno Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techno Medical Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.102.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.182.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Techno Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Techno Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Techno Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Techno Medical Public.

Techno Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techno Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techno Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techno Medical Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techno Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Techno Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Techno Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Techno Medical Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techno Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Techno Medical may become a speculative penny stock
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Techno Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Techno Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Techno Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Techno Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding308 M

Techno Medical Technical Analysis

Techno Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techno Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techno Medical Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techno Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Techno Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Techno Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Techno Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techno Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Techno Medical Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Techno Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Techno Medical Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techno Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Techno Medical may become a speculative penny stock
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Techno Stock

Techno Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techno Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techno with respect to the benefits of owning Techno Medical security.