Telia Company AB Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.32

TLSNYDelisted Stock  USD 4.93  0.07  1.40%   
Telia Company's future price is the expected price of Telia Company instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Telia Company AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Telia Company's target price for which you would like Telia Company odds to be computed.

Telia Company Target Price Odds to finish below 4.32

The tendency of Telia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.32  or more in 90 days
 4.93 90 days 4.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telia Company to drop to $ 4.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telia Company AB probability density function shows the probability of Telia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telia Company price to stay between $ 4.32  and its current price of $4.93 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Telia Company has a beta of 0.4. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Telia Company average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Telia Company AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Telia Company AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Telia Company Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Telia Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telia Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.934.934.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.324.325.42
Details

Telia Company Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telia Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telia Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telia Company AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telia Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Telia Company Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telia Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telia Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telia Company is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Telia Company has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Telia Company AB has accumulated 23.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Telia Company has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telia Company until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telia Company's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telia Company sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telia Company's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Telia Company Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telia Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telia Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 B

Telia Company Technical Analysis

Telia Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telia Company AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Telia Company Predictive Forecast Models

Telia Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telia Company's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telia Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Telia Company

Checking the ongoing alerts about Telia Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telia Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telia Company is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Telia Company has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Telia Company AB has accumulated 23.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Telia Company has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telia Company until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telia Company's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telia Company sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telia Company's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Other Consideration for investing in Telia Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Telia Company check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Telia Company's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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