Thitikorn Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 467.45

TK Stock  THB 4.64  0.04  0.85%   
Thitikorn Public's future price is the expected price of Thitikorn Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thitikorn Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thitikorn Public Backtesting, Thitikorn Public Valuation, Thitikorn Public Correlation, Thitikorn Public Hype Analysis, Thitikorn Public Volatility, Thitikorn Public History as well as Thitikorn Public Performance.
  
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Thitikorn Public Target Price Odds to finish over 467.45

The tendency of Thitikorn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  467.45  or more in 90 days
 4.64 90 days 467.45 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thitikorn Public to move over  467.45  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Thitikorn Public probability density function shows the probability of Thitikorn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thitikorn Public price to stay between its current price of  4.64  and  467.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thitikorn Public has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thitikorn Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thitikorn Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thitikorn Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thitikorn Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thitikorn Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thitikorn Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.64468.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.63467.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thitikorn Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thitikorn Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thitikorn Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thitikorn Public.

Thitikorn Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thitikorn Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thitikorn Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thitikorn Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thitikorn Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Thitikorn Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thitikorn Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thitikorn Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thitikorn Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thitikorn Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thitikorn Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thitikorn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thitikorn Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thitikorn Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding500 M
Dividends Paid210 M
Short Long Term Debt728.8 M

Thitikorn Public Technical Analysis

Thitikorn Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thitikorn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thitikorn Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thitikorn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thitikorn Public Predictive Forecast Models

Thitikorn Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thitikorn Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thitikorn Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thitikorn Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thitikorn Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thitikorn Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thitikorn Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thitikorn Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thitikorn Stock

Thitikorn Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thitikorn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thitikorn with respect to the benefits of owning Thitikorn Public security.