Tiptree Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.47
| TIPT Stock | USD 21.51 0.05 0.23% |
Closest to current price Tiptree long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Tiptree |
Tiptree Target Price Odds to finish below 19.47
The tendency of Tiptree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.47 or more in 90 days |
| 21.51 | 90 days | 19.47 | about 19.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiptree to drop to $ 19.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.9 (This Tiptree probability density function shows the probability of Tiptree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tiptree price to stay between $ 19.47 and its current price of $21.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tiptree will likely underperform. Additionally Tiptree has an alpha of 0.0632, implying that it can generate a 0.0632 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tiptree Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tiptree
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiptree. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tiptree Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiptree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiptree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiptree, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiptree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Tiptree Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tiptree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tiptree can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tiptree currently holds 475 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.63, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tiptree has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Tiptree's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Tiptree has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 38.0% of Tiptree outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 25th of November 2024 Tiptree paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Tiptree Inc. To Go Ex-Dividend on December 11th |
Tiptree Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tiptree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tiptree's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tiptree's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 472.5 M |
Tiptree Technical Analysis
Tiptree's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiptree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiptree. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiptree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tiptree Predictive Forecast Models
Tiptree's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiptree's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiptree's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tiptree
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tiptree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tiptree help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tiptree currently holds 475 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.63, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tiptree has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Tiptree's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Tiptree has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 38.0% of Tiptree outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 25th of November 2024 Tiptree paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Tiptree Inc. To Go Ex-Dividend on December 11th |
Additional Tools for Tiptree Stock Analysis
When running Tiptree's price analysis, check to measure Tiptree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tiptree is operating at the current time. Most of Tiptree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tiptree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tiptree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tiptree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.