Bergbahnen Engelberg (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.85
| TIBN Stock | CHF 42.40 0.10 0.24% |
Bergbahnen |
Bergbahnen Engelberg Target Price Odds to finish over 36.85
The tendency of Bergbahnen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above ₣ 36.85 in 90 days |
| 42.40 | 90 days | 36.85 | about 88.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bergbahnen Engelberg to stay above ₣ 36.85 in 90 days from now is about 88.2 (This Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee probability density function shows the probability of Bergbahnen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bergbahnen Engelberg price to stay between ₣ 36.85 and its current price of ₣42.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bergbahnen Engelberg has a beta of 0.0719. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Bergbahnen Engelberg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee has an alpha of 0.192, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bergbahnen Engelberg Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bergbahnen Engelberg
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bergbahnen Engelberg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bergbahnen Engelberg Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bergbahnen Engelberg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bergbahnen Engelberg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bergbahnen Engelberg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Bergbahnen Engelberg Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bergbahnen Engelberg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bergbahnen Engelberg can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Bergbahnen Engelberg Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bergbahnen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bergbahnen Engelberg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bergbahnen Engelberg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.8 M |
Bergbahnen Engelberg Technical Analysis
Bergbahnen Engelberg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bergbahnen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bergbahnen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bergbahnen Engelberg Predictive Forecast Models
Bergbahnen Engelberg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bergbahnen Engelberg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bergbahnen Engelberg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bergbahnen Engelberg
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bergbahnen Engelberg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bergbahnen Engelberg help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Bergbahnen Stock Analysis
When running Bergbahnen Engelberg's price analysis, check to measure Bergbahnen Engelberg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bergbahnen Engelberg is operating at the current time. Most of Bergbahnen Engelberg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bergbahnen Engelberg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bergbahnen Engelberg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bergbahnen Engelberg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.