Tekla World Healthcare Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 12.12

THW Fund  USD 12.08  0.08  0.67%   
Tekla World's future price is the expected price of Tekla World instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tekla World Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tekla World Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tekla World Correlation, Tekla World Hype Analysis, Tekla World Volatility, Tekla World History as well as Tekla World Performance.
  
Please specify Tekla World's target price for which you would like Tekla World odds to be computed.

Tekla World Target Price Odds to finish over 12.12

The tendency of Tekla Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.12  or more in 90 days
 12.08 90 days 12.12 
about 85.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tekla World to move over $ 12.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.29 (This Tekla World Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Tekla Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tekla World Healthcare price to stay between its current price of $ 12.08  and $ 12.12  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tekla World has a beta of 0.35. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tekla World average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tekla World Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tekla World Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tekla World Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tekla World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tekla World Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2212.0812.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2612.1212.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4212.2813.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5712.0512.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tekla World. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tekla World's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tekla World's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tekla World Healthcare.

Tekla World Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tekla World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tekla World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tekla World Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tekla World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Tekla World Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tekla World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tekla World Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Tekla World Technical Analysis

Tekla World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tekla Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tekla World Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tekla Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tekla World Predictive Forecast Models

Tekla World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tekla World's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tekla World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tekla World Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tekla World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tekla World Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Tekla Fund

Tekla World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tekla Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tekla with respect to the benefits of owning Tekla World security.
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