Investment Trust (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 196.73
| THEINVEST | 198.10 1.84 0.92% |
Investment |
Investment Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 196.73
The tendency of Investment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 196.73 or more in 90 days |
| 198.10 | 90 days | 196.73 | about 7.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investment Trust to drop to 196.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.57 (This The Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Investment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investment Trust price to stay between 196.73 and its current price of 198.1 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The Investment Trust has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Investment Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Investment Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Investment Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Investment Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Investment Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Investment Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investment Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investment Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investment Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Investment Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investment Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investment Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Investment Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The Investment Trust has accumulated about 755.67 M in cash with (2.09 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CT Real Estate Investment Trust Given a C16.25 Price Target by National Bankshares Analysts - MarketBeat |
Investment Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investment Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investment Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Investment Trust Technical Analysis
Investment Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investment Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Investment Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investment Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investment Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Investment Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Investment Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investment Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Investment Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The Investment Trust has accumulated about 755.67 M in cash with (2.09 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CT Real Estate Investment Trust Given a C16.25 Price Target by National Bankshares Analysts - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Investment Stock
Investment Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Investment Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Investment with respect to the benefits of owning Investment Trust security.