Thornburg E Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 32.51

THCGX Fund  USD 32.61  0.05  0.15%   
Thornburg's future price is the expected price of Thornburg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thornburg E Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thornburg Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thornburg Correlation, Thornburg Hype Analysis, Thornburg Volatility, Thornburg History as well as Thornburg Performance.
  
Please specify Thornburg's target price for which you would like Thornburg odds to be computed.

Thornburg Target Price Odds to finish below 32.51

The tendency of Thornburg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 32.51  or more in 90 days
 32.61 90 days 32.51 
about 88.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thornburg to drop to $ 32.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.1 (This Thornburg E Growth probability density function shows the probability of Thornburg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thornburg E Growth price to stay between $ 32.51  and its current price of $32.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Thornburg will likely underperform. Additionally Thornburg E Growth has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thornburg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thornburg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thornburg E Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4332.6133.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.3033.4834.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thornburg. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thornburg's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thornburg's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thornburg E Growth.

Thornburg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thornburg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thornburg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thornburg E Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thornburg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Thornburg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thornburg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thornburg E Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Thornburg E Growth maintains 98.55% of its assets in stocks

Thornburg Technical Analysis

Thornburg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thornburg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thornburg E Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thornburg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thornburg Predictive Forecast Models

Thornburg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thornburg's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thornburg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thornburg E Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thornburg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thornburg E Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Thornburg E Growth maintains 98.55% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg security.
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