Terregra Asia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.77
| TGRA Stock | IDR 18.00 2.00 10.00% |
Terregra |
Terregra Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 16.77
The tendency of Terregra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.77 or more in 90 days |
| 18.00 | 90 days | 16.77 | nearly 4.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Terregra Asia to drop to 16.77 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.16 (This Terregra Asia Energy probability density function shows the probability of Terregra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Terregra Asia Energy price to stay between 16.77 and its current price of 18.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Terregra Asia has a beta of 0.54. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Terregra Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Terregra Asia Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Terregra Asia Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Terregra Asia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Terregra Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terregra Asia Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Terregra Asia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Terregra Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Terregra Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Terregra Asia Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Terregra Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Terregra Asia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Terregra Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Terregra Asia Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Terregra Asia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Terregra Asia Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Terregra Asia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Terregra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Terregra Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terregra Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 331.5 M |
Terregra Asia Technical Analysis
Terregra Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Terregra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Terregra Asia Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Terregra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Terregra Asia Predictive Forecast Models
Terregra Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Terregra Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Terregra Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Terregra Asia Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Terregra Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Terregra Asia Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Terregra Asia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Terregra Asia Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Terregra Stock
Terregra Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Terregra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Terregra with respect to the benefits of owning Terregra Asia security.