Textainer Group Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.36
| TGHDelisted Stock | USD 40.91 0.28 0.69% |
Textainer |
Textainer Group Target Price Odds to finish over 35.36
The tendency of Textainer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 35.36 in 90 days |
| 40.91 | 90 days | 35.36 | about 83.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Textainer Group to stay above $ 35.36 in 90 days from now is about 83.5 (This Textainer Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Textainer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Textainer Group Holdings price to stay between $ 35.36 and its current price of $40.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.84 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Textainer Group has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Textainer Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Textainer Group Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Textainer Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.2074, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Textainer Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Textainer Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Textainer Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Textainer Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Textainer Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Textainer Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Textainer Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Textainer Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Textainer Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Textainer Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Textainer Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Textainer Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Textainer Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Textainer Group Holdings has 4.99 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.98, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Textainer Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Textainer to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 83.0% of Textainer Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Textainer Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Textainer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Textainer Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Textainer Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131.1 M |
Textainer Group Technical Analysis
Textainer Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Textainer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Textainer Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Textainer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Textainer Group Predictive Forecast Models
Textainer Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Textainer Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Textainer Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Textainer Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Textainer Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Textainer Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Textainer Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Textainer Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Textainer Group Holdings has 4.99 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.98, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Textainer Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Textainer to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 83.0% of Textainer Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Other Consideration for investing in Textainer Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Textainer Group Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Textainer Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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