Tanaka Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 49.58
| TGFRX Fund | USD 46.24 0.61 1.30% |
Tanaka |
Tanaka Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 49.58
The tendency of Tanaka Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 49.58 after 90 days |
| 46.24 | 90 days | 49.58 | about 32.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tanaka Growth to stay under $ 49.58 after 90 days from now is about 32.42 (This Tanaka Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Tanaka Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tanaka Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 46.24 and $ 49.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tanaka Growth has a beta of 0.41. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tanaka Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tanaka Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tanaka Growth Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tanaka Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tanaka Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanaka Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tanaka Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tanaka Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tanaka Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tanaka Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tanaka Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Tanaka Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tanaka Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tanaka Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tanaka Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 6.45% of its assets in cash |
Tanaka Growth Technical Analysis
Tanaka Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tanaka Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tanaka Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tanaka Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tanaka Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Tanaka Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tanaka Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tanaka Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tanaka Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tanaka Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tanaka Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tanaka Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 6.45% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Tanaka Mutual Fund
Tanaka Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tanaka Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tanaka with respect to the benefits of owning Tanaka Growth security.
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