Top Frontier (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.30
| TFHI Stock | 62.20 0.10 0.16% |
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Top Frontier Target Price Odds to finish over 74.30
The tendency of Top Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 74.30 or more in 90 days |
| 62.20 | 90 days | 74.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Top Frontier to move over 74.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Top Frontier Investment probability density function shows the probability of Top Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Top Frontier Investment price to stay between its current price of 62.20 and 74.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Top Frontier has a beta of 0.83. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Top Frontier average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Top Frontier Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Top Frontier Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Top Frontier Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Top Frontier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Frontier Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Top Frontier Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Top Frontier is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Top Frontier's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Top Frontier Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Top Frontier within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Top Frontier Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Top Frontier for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Top Frontier Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Top Frontier generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Top Frontier has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Top Frontier Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Top Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Top Frontier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Top Frontier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 332.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 37.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.7 B |
Top Frontier Technical Analysis
Top Frontier's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Top Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Top Frontier Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Top Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Top Frontier Predictive Forecast Models
Top Frontier's time-series forecasting models is one of many Top Frontier's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Top Frontier's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Top Frontier Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Top Frontier for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Top Frontier Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Top Frontier generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Top Frontier has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Top Stock Analysis
When running Top Frontier's price analysis, check to measure Top Frontier's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top Frontier is operating at the current time. Most of Top Frontier's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top Frontier's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top Frontier's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top Frontier to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.