Tonnellerie Francois (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.91
| TFF Stock | EUR 30.20 0.70 2.37% |
Tonnellerie |
Tonnellerie Francois Target Price Odds to finish over 31.91
The tendency of Tonnellerie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 31.91 or more in 90 days |
| 30.20 | 90 days | 31.91 | about 37.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tonnellerie Francois to move over € 31.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.49 (This Tonnellerie Francois Freres probability density function shows the probability of Tonnellerie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tonnellerie Francois price to stay between its current price of € 30.20 and € 31.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tonnellerie Francois has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tonnellerie Francois average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tonnellerie Francois Freres will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tonnellerie Francois Freres has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tonnellerie Francois Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tonnellerie Francois
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tonnellerie Francois. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tonnellerie Francois Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tonnellerie Francois is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tonnellerie Francois' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tonnellerie Francois Freres, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tonnellerie Francois within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Tonnellerie Francois Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tonnellerie Francois for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tonnellerie Francois can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tonnellerie Francois generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tonnellerie Francois Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tonnellerie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tonnellerie Francois' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tonnellerie Francois' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 97.6 M |
Tonnellerie Francois Technical Analysis
Tonnellerie Francois' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tonnellerie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tonnellerie Francois Freres. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tonnellerie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tonnellerie Francois Predictive Forecast Models
Tonnellerie Francois' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tonnellerie Francois' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tonnellerie Francois' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tonnellerie Francois
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tonnellerie Francois for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tonnellerie Francois help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tonnellerie Francois generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tonnellerie Stock
Tonnellerie Francois financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tonnellerie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tonnellerie with respect to the benefits of owning Tonnellerie Francois security.