TF Bank (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 266.29

TFBANK Stock  SEK 350.00  15.00  4.11%   
TF Bank's future price is the expected price of TF Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TF Bank AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TF Bank Backtesting, TF Bank Valuation, TF Bank Correlation, TF Bank Hype Analysis, TF Bank Volatility, TF Bank History as well as TF Bank Performance.
  
Please specify TF Bank's target price for which you would like TF Bank odds to be computed.

TF Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 266.29

The tendency of TFBANK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 266.29  in 90 days
 350.00 90 days 266.29 
about 87.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TF Bank to stay above kr 266.29  in 90 days from now is about 87.8 (This TF Bank AB probability density function shows the probability of TFBANK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TF Bank AB price to stay between kr 266.29  and its current price of kr350.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TF Bank AB has a beta of -0.0283. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TF Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TF Bank AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TF Bank AB has an alpha of 0.4334, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TF Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TF Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TF Bank AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
347.78350.00352.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
276.03278.25385.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
362.24364.46366.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
305.85342.43379.01
Details

TF Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TF Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TF Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TF Bank AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TF Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
32.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

TF Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TF Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TF Bank AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

TF Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TFBANK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TF Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TF Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.5 M

TF Bank Technical Analysis

TF Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TFBANK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TF Bank AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing TFBANK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TF Bank Predictive Forecast Models

TF Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many TF Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TF Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TF Bank AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about TF Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TF Bank AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in TFBANK Stock

TF Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether TFBANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TFBANK with respect to the benefits of owning TF Bank security.