Teka Tecelagem (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 22.06

TEKA4 Preferred Stock  BRL 29.00  0.00  0.00%   
Teka Tecelagem's future price is the expected price of Teka Tecelagem instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teka Tecelagem Backtesting, Teka Tecelagem Valuation, Teka Tecelagem Correlation, Teka Tecelagem Hype Analysis, Teka Tecelagem Volatility, Teka Tecelagem History as well as Teka Tecelagem Performance.
  
Please specify Teka Tecelagem's target price for which you would like Teka Tecelagem odds to be computed.

Teka Tecelagem Target Price Odds to finish below 22.06

The tendency of Teka Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to R$ 22.06  or more in 90 days
 29.00 90 days 22.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teka Tecelagem to drop to R$ 22.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich probability density function shows the probability of Teka Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich price to stay between R$ 22.06  and its current price of R$29.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has a beta of -0.41. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Teka Tecelagem are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has an alpha of 0.0408, implying that it can generate a 0.0408 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teka Tecelagem Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teka Tecelagem

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.0129.0030.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.0424.0331.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.5929.5831.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2329.0236.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Teka Tecelagem. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Teka Tecelagem's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Teka Tecelagem's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich.

Teka Tecelagem Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teka Tecelagem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teka Tecelagem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teka Tecelagem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.0043

Teka Tecelagem Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teka Tecelagem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teka Tecelagem has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has accumulated 2.12 M in total debt. Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Teka Tecelagem until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Teka Tecelagem's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Teka to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Teka Tecelagem's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 228.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.56 M.
Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has accumulated about 610 K in cash with (23.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.

Teka Tecelagem Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teka Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teka Tecelagem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teka Tecelagem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding503 K
Cash And Short Term Investments610 K

Teka Tecelagem Technical Analysis

Teka Tecelagem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teka Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teka Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teka Tecelagem Predictive Forecast Models

Teka Tecelagem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teka Tecelagem's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teka Tecelagem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teka Tecelagem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teka Tecelagem has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has accumulated 2.12 M in total debt. Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Teka Tecelagem until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Teka Tecelagem's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Teka to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Teka Tecelagem's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 228.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.56 M.
Teka Tecelagem Kuehnrich has accumulated about 610 K in cash with (23.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.

Additional Tools for Teka Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Teka Tecelagem's price analysis, check to measure Teka Tecelagem's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teka Tecelagem is operating at the current time. Most of Teka Tecelagem's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teka Tecelagem's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teka Tecelagem's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teka Tecelagem to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.