The Teberg Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 23.06

TEBRX Fund  USD 24.54  0.12  0.49%   
Teberg Fund's future price is the expected price of Teberg Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Teberg Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teberg Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Teberg Fund Correlation, Teberg Fund Hype Analysis, Teberg Fund Volatility, Teberg Fund History as well as Teberg Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Teberg Fund's target price for which you would like Teberg Fund odds to be computed.

Teberg Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 23.06

The tendency of Teberg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.06  or more in 90 days
 24.54 90 days 23.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teberg Fund to drop to $ 23.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Teberg Fund probability density function shows the probability of Teberg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teberg Fund price to stay between $ 23.06  and its current price of $24.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Teberg Fund has a beta of 0.79. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Teberg Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Teberg Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Teberg Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Teberg Fund Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1523.0623.2223.4823.8824.1424.4124.5424.825.025.4625.7325.99Current PriceTargetTeberg Fund Mean 0.20.40.60.81.01.2
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teberg Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teberg Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6424.5425.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7524.6525.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.3124.2125.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5125.1725.83
Details

Teberg Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teberg Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teberg Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Teberg Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teberg Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Teberg Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teberg Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teberg Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teberg Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 93.33% of its assets in stocks

Teberg Fund Technical Analysis

Teberg Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teberg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Teberg Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teberg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teberg Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Teberg Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teberg Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teberg Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teberg Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teberg Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teberg Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teberg Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 93.33% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Teberg Mutual Fund

Teberg Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teberg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teberg with respect to the benefits of owning Teberg Fund security.
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