TDG Global (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3033.33
| TDG Stock | 3,620 20.00 0.55% |
TDG |
TDG Global Target Price Odds to finish below 3033.33
The tendency of TDG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3,033 or more in 90 days |
| 3,620 | 90 days | 3,033 | roughly 2.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TDG Global to drop to 3,033 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.16 (This TDG Global Investment probability density function shows the probability of TDG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TDG Global Investment price to stay between 3,033 and its current price of 3620.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TDG Global Investment has a beta of -0.8. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TDG Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TDG Global Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TDG Global Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TDG Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TDG Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TDG Global Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TDG Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TDG Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TDG Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TDG Global Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TDG Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 520.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
TDG Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TDG Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TDG Global Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TDG Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TDG Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
TDG Global Technical Analysis
TDG Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TDG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TDG Global Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing TDG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TDG Global Predictive Forecast Models
TDG Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many TDG Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TDG Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TDG Global Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about TDG Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TDG Global Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TDG Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TDG Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in TDG Stock
TDG Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether TDG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TDG with respect to the benefits of owning TDG Global security.