Timothy Servative Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.37
| TCVCX Fund | USD 8.91 0.01 0.11% |
Timothy |
Timothy Servative Target Price Odds to finish below 8.37
The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.37 or more in 90 days |
| 8.91 | 90 days | 8.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Servative to drop to $ 8.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Timothy Servative Growth probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Servative Growth price to stay between $ 8.37 and its current price of $8.91 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Servative has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timothy Servative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timothy Servative Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timothy Servative Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Timothy Servative Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Servative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Servative Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timothy Servative's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Timothy Servative Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Servative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Servative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Servative Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Servative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Timothy Servative Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Servative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Servative Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Timothy Servative generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Timothy Servative Growth maintains about 17.58% of its assets in cash |
Timothy Servative Technical Analysis
Timothy Servative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Servative Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timothy Servative Predictive Forecast Models
Timothy Servative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Servative's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Servative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Timothy Servative Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Servative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Servative Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Timothy Servative generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Timothy Servative Growth maintains about 17.58% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund
Timothy Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Servative security.
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