TCPL Packaging (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,120
| TCPLPACK | 4,657 49.55 1.08% |
TCPL |
TCPL Packaging Target Price Odds to finish below 3,120
The tendency of TCPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4,657 | 90 days | 4,657 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TCPL Packaging to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This TCPL Packaging Limited probability density function shows the probability of TCPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TCPL Packaging Limited has a beta of -0.33. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TCPL Packaging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TCPL Packaging Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TCPL Packaging Limited has an alpha of 0.7411, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TCPL Packaging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TCPL Packaging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TCPL Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TCPL Packaging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TCPL Packaging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TCPL Packaging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TCPL Packaging Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TCPL Packaging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 559.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
TCPL Packaging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TCPL Packaging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TCPL Packaging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TCPL Packaging appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TCPL Packaging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TCPL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TCPL Packaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TCPL Packaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.3 M |
TCPL Packaging Technical Analysis
TCPL Packaging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TCPL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TCPL Packaging Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing TCPL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TCPL Packaging Predictive Forecast Models
TCPL Packaging's time-series forecasting models is one of many TCPL Packaging's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TCPL Packaging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TCPL Packaging
Checking the ongoing alerts about TCPL Packaging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TCPL Packaging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TCPL Packaging appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TCPL Stock
TCPL Packaging financial ratios help investors to determine whether TCPL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TCPL with respect to the benefits of owning TCPL Packaging security.