Blackrock Tcp Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.44

TCPC Stock  USD 9.42  0.07  0.74%   
BlackRock TCP's future price is the expected price of BlackRock TCP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BlackRock TCP Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BlackRock TCP Backtesting, BlackRock TCP Valuation, BlackRock TCP Correlation, BlackRock TCP Hype Analysis, BlackRock TCP Volatility, BlackRock TCP History as well as BlackRock TCP Performance.
  
At present, BlackRock TCP's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 8.45, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 9.54. Please specify BlackRock TCP's target price for which you would like BlackRock TCP odds to be computed.

BlackRock TCP Target Price Odds to finish over 14.44

The tendency of BlackRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.44  or more in 90 days
 9.42 90 days 14.44 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock TCP to move over $ 14.44  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BlackRock TCP Capital probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlackRock TCP Capital price to stay between its current price of $ 9.42  and $ 14.44  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BlackRock TCP will likely underperform. Additionally BlackRock TCP Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BlackRock TCP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BlackRock TCP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock TCP Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.729.4811.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2711.0312.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.479.2310.99
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details

BlackRock TCP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlackRock TCP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlackRock TCP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlackRock TCP Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlackRock TCP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0

BlackRock TCP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlackRock TCP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlackRock TCP Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock TCP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Paloma Partners Management Co Invests 608,000 in BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.

BlackRock TCP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlackRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlackRock TCP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock TCP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.2 M

BlackRock TCP Technical Analysis

BlackRock TCP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlackRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlackRock TCP Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlackRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BlackRock TCP Predictive Forecast Models

BlackRock TCP's time-series forecasting models is one of many BlackRock TCP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BlackRock TCP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BlackRock TCP Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about BlackRock TCP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlackRock TCP Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock TCP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Paloma Partners Management Co Invests 608,000 in BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.
When determining whether BlackRock TCP Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BlackRock TCP's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackrock Tcp Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackrock Tcp Capital Stock:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock TCP. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock TCP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.139
Dividend Share
1.36
Earnings Share
(0.55)
Revenue Per Share
3.422
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.308
The market value of BlackRock TCP Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock TCP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock TCP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock TCP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock TCP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock TCP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock TCP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock TCP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.