Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.07

TCMVX Fund  USD 19.09  0.09  0.47%   
Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's future price is the expected price of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Correlation, Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Hype Analysis, Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Volatility, Tiaa-cref Mid-cap History as well as Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Performance.
  
Please specify Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's target price for which you would like Tiaa-cref Mid-cap odds to be computed.

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Target Price Odds to finish over 19.07

The tendency of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.07  in 90 days
 19.09 90 days 19.07 
about 10.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap to stay above $ 19.07  in 90 days from now is about 10.87 (This Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value probability density function shows the probability of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap price to stay between $ 19.07  and its current price of $19.09 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tiaa-cref Mid-cap has a beta of 0.95. This usually implies Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tiaa-cref Mid-cap is expected to follow. Additionally Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value has an alpha of 0.0089, implying that it can generate a 0.008913 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tiaa-cref Mid-cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa-cref Mid-cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3219.0919.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9818.7519.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0718.8419.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.5219.0419.55
Details

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiaa-cref Mid-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio 0

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tiaa-cref Mid-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tiaa-cref Mid-cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.9% of its assets in stocks

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Technical Analysis

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiaa Cref Mid Cap Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap Predictive Forecast Models

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiaa-cref Mid-cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tiaa-cref Mid-cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tiaa-cref Mid-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tiaa-cref Mid-cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.9% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund

Tiaa-cref Mid-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tiaa-cref with respect to the benefits of owning Tiaa-cref Mid-cap security.
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