Thunderbird Entertainment Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.52
| TBRD Stock | CAD 1.85 0.05 2.78% |
Thunderbird |
Thunderbird Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 4.52
The tendency of Thunderbird Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 4.52 or more in 90 days |
| 1.85 | 90 days | 4.52 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thunderbird Entertainment to move over C$ 4.52 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Thunderbird Entertainment Group probability density function shows the probability of Thunderbird Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thunderbird Entertainment price to stay between its current price of C$ 1.85 and C$ 4.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thunderbird Entertainment has a beta of 0.0407. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thunderbird Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thunderbird Entertainment Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thunderbird Entertainment Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Thunderbird Entertainment Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Thunderbird Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thunderbird Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thunderbird Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thunderbird Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thunderbird Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thunderbird Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thunderbird Entertainment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thunderbird Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Thunderbird Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thunderbird Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thunderbird Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thunderbird Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thunderbird Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Thunderbird Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Thunderbird Entertainment Announces AGM Results and Incentive Plan - Nasdaq |
Thunderbird Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thunderbird Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thunderbird Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thunderbird Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.8 M |
Thunderbird Entertainment Technical Analysis
Thunderbird Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thunderbird Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thunderbird Entertainment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thunderbird Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thunderbird Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
Thunderbird Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thunderbird Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thunderbird Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thunderbird Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thunderbird Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thunderbird Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thunderbird Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thunderbird Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Thunderbird Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Thunderbird Entertainment Announces AGM Results and Incentive Plan - Nasdaq |
Additional Tools for Thunderbird Stock Analysis
When running Thunderbird Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Thunderbird Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thunderbird Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Thunderbird Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thunderbird Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thunderbird Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thunderbird Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.