Tamboran Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.75
| TBN Stock | 16.82 0.90 5.08% |
Tamboran |
Tamboran Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 18.75
The tendency of Tamboran Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18.75 after 90 days |
| 16.82 | 90 days | 18.75 | about 49.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tamboran Resources to stay under 18.75 after 90 days from now is about 49.4 (This Tamboran Resources probability density function shows the probability of Tamboran Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tamboran Resources price to stay between its current price of 16.82 and 18.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tamboran Resources has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tamboran Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tamboran Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tamboran Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tamboran Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tamboran Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tamboran Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tamboran Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tamboran Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tamboran Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tamboran Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tamboran Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Tamboran Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tamboran Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tamboran Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tamboran Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tamboran Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (23.85 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Tamboran Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Tamboran Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company Buys Shares of 95,000 Tamboran Resources Corp - MarketBeat |
Tamboran Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tamboran Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tamboran Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tamboran Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74.7 M |
Tamboran Resources Technical Analysis
Tamboran Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tamboran Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tamboran Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tamboran Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tamboran Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Tamboran Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tamboran Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tamboran Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tamboran Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tamboran Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tamboran Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tamboran Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tamboran Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (23.85 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Tamboran Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Tamboran Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company Buys Shares of 95,000 Tamboran Resources Corp - MarketBeat |
Check out Tamboran Resources Backtesting, Tamboran Resources Valuation, Tamboran Resources Correlation, Tamboran Resources Hype Analysis, Tamboran Resources Volatility, Tamboran Resources History as well as Tamboran Resources Performance. To learn how to invest in Tamboran Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tamboran Resources guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tamboran Resources. If investors know Tamboran will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tamboran Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.02) | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.14) |
The market value of Tamboran Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tamboran that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tamboran Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tamboran Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tamboran Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tamboran Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tamboran Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tamboran Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tamboran Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.