Seven West (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.35

SWM Stock   0.14  0.01  6.67%   
Seven West's future price is the expected price of Seven West instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seven West Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seven West Backtesting, Seven West Valuation, Seven West Correlation, Seven West Hype Analysis, Seven West Volatility, Seven West History as well as Seven West Performance.
  
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Seven West Target Price Odds to finish over 10.35

The tendency of Seven Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10.35  or more in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 10.35 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seven West to move over  10.35  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Seven West Media probability density function shows the probability of Seven Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seven West Media price to stay between its current price of  0.14  and  10.35  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seven West Media has a beta of -1.5. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Seven West Media are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Seven West is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Seven West Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seven West Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seven West

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seven West Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.143.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.133.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.143.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.02
Details

Seven West Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seven West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seven West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seven West Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seven West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Seven West Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seven West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seven West Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seven West Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seven West Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Seven West Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Seven West Media is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Seven West Media Faces Securities Lapse Impact - Nasdaq

Seven West Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seven Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seven West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seven West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments54.5 M

Seven West Technical Analysis

Seven West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seven Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seven West Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seven Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seven West Predictive Forecast Models

Seven West's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seven West's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seven West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seven West Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seven West for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seven West Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seven West Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seven West Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Seven West Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Seven West Media is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Seven West Media Faces Securities Lapse Impact - Nasdaq

Additional Tools for Seven Stock Analysis

When running Seven West's price analysis, check to measure Seven West's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seven West is operating at the current time. Most of Seven West's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seven West's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seven West's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seven West to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.