Sherwood Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.4

SWC Stock  THB 2.94  0.02  0.68%   
Sherwood Public's future price is the expected price of Sherwood Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sherwood Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sherwood Public Backtesting, Sherwood Public Valuation, Sherwood Public Correlation, Sherwood Public Hype Analysis, Sherwood Public Volatility, Sherwood Public History as well as Sherwood Public Performance.
  
Please specify Sherwood Public's target price for which you would like Sherwood Public odds to be computed.

Sherwood Public Target Price Odds to finish below 3.4

The tendency of Sherwood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  3.40  after 90 days
 2.94 90 days 3.40 
about 82.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sherwood Public to stay under  3.40  after 90 days from now is about 82.41 (This Sherwood Public probability density function shows the probability of Sherwood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sherwood Public price to stay between its current price of  2.94  and  3.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sherwood Public has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sherwood Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sherwood Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sherwood Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sherwood Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sherwood Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sherwood Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.442.944.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.002.504.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.392.894.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.903.093.28
Details

Sherwood Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sherwood Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sherwood Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sherwood Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sherwood Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Sherwood Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sherwood Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sherwood Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sherwood Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sherwood Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sherwood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sherwood Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sherwood Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding327 M
Short Long Term Debt50.7 M

Sherwood Public Technical Analysis

Sherwood Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sherwood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sherwood Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sherwood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sherwood Public Predictive Forecast Models

Sherwood Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sherwood Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sherwood Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sherwood Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sherwood Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sherwood Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sherwood Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sherwood Stock

Sherwood Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sherwood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sherwood with respect to the benefits of owning Sherwood Public security.