Sunlight Financial Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.38

SUNLDelisted Stock  USD 0.47  0.01  2.17%   
Sunlight Financial's future price is the expected price of Sunlight Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sunlight Financial Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Sunlight Financial's target price for which you would like Sunlight Financial odds to be computed.

Sunlight Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 0.38

The tendency of Sunlight Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.38  in 90 days
 0.47 90 days 0.38 
about 58.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunlight Financial to stay above $ 0.38  in 90 days from now is about 58.27 (This Sunlight Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Sunlight Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunlight Financial price to stay between $ 0.38  and its current price of $0.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sunlight Financial Holdings has a beta of -0.24. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sunlight Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sunlight Financial Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sunlight Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.8937, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sunlight Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sunlight Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunlight Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.470.470.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.360.360.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.510.510.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.250.360.48
Details

Sunlight Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunlight Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunlight Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunlight Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunlight Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.89
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Sunlight Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunlight Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunlight Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunlight Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Sunlight Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sunlight Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 114.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (511.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.31 M.
Sunlight Financial Holdings currently holds about 68.91 M in cash with (25.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Sunlight Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunlight Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunlight Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunlight Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments47.5 M

Sunlight Financial Technical Analysis

Sunlight Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunlight Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunlight Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunlight Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sunlight Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Sunlight Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunlight Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunlight Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sunlight Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunlight Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunlight Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunlight Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Sunlight Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sunlight Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 114.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (511.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.31 M.
Sunlight Financial Holdings currently holds about 68.91 M in cash with (25.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Consideration for investing in Sunlight Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Sunlight Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sunlight Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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