Saha Union (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.99

SUC Stock  THB 31.50  0.25  0.80%   
Saha Union's future price is the expected price of Saha Union instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saha Union Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saha Union Backtesting, Saha Union Valuation, Saha Union Correlation, Saha Union Hype Analysis, Saha Union Volatility, Saha Union History as well as Saha Union Performance.
  
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Saha Union Target Price Odds to finish over 30.99

The tendency of Saha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  30.99  in 90 days
 31.50 90 days 30.99 
about 73.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saha Union to stay above  30.99  in 90 days from now is about 73.16 (This Saha Union Public probability density function shows the probability of Saha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saha Union Public price to stay between  30.99  and its current price of 31.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saha Union has a beta of 0.21. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saha Union average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saha Union Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saha Union Public has an alpha of 0.0374, implying that it can generate a 0.0374 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saha Union Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saha Union

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saha Union Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.2431.5032.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.9931.2532.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3931.6532.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.6031.6232.63
Details

Saha Union Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saha Union is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saha Union's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saha Union Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saha Union within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Saha Union Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saha Union for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saha Union Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Saha Union Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saha Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saha Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300 M
Short Long Term Debt485.6 M

Saha Union Technical Analysis

Saha Union's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saha Union Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saha Union Predictive Forecast Models

Saha Union's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saha Union's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saha Union's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saha Union Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saha Union for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saha Union Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Saha Stock

Saha Union financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saha with respect to the benefits of owning Saha Union security.