Baazar Style (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 331.15
| STYLEBAAZA | 335.80 4.65 1.40% |
Baazar |
Baazar Style Target Price Odds to finish below 331.15
The tendency of Baazar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 331.15 or more in 90 days |
| 335.80 | 90 days | 331.15 | about 18.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baazar Style to drop to 331.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.85 (This Baazar Style Retail probability density function shows the probability of Baazar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baazar Style Retail price to stay between 331.15 and its current price of 335.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baazar Style has a beta of 0.55. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Baazar Style average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baazar Style Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baazar Style Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baazar Style Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baazar Style
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baazar Style Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baazar Style's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baazar Style Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baazar Style is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baazar Style's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baazar Style Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baazar Style within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Baazar Style Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baazar Style for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baazar Style Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baazar Style Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baazar Style Retail has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Baazar Style Retail MD Expects Online Sales To Add 2 percent To Topline In Next Three Years - NDTV Profit |
Baazar Style Technical Analysis
Baazar Style's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baazar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baazar Style Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baazar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baazar Style Predictive Forecast Models
Baazar Style's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baazar Style's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baazar Style's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baazar Style Retail
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baazar Style for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baazar Style Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baazar Style Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baazar Style Retail has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Baazar Style Retail MD Expects Online Sales To Add 2 percent To Topline In Next Three Years - NDTV Profit |
Other Information on Investing in Baazar Stock
Baazar Style financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baazar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baazar with respect to the benefits of owning Baazar Style security.