Bmo Global Consumer Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 23.80

STPL Etf  CAD 23.80  0.13  0.54%   
BMO Global's future price is the expected price of BMO Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BMO Global Consumer performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BMO Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BMO Global Correlation, BMO Global Hype Analysis, BMO Global Volatility, BMO Global History as well as BMO Global Performance.
  
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BMO Global Target Price Odds to finish over 23.80

The tendency of BMO Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.80 90 days 23.80 
about 86.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BMO Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.43 (This BMO Global Consumer probability density function shows the probability of BMO Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMO Global has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BMO Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BMO Global Consumer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BMO Global Consumer has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BMO Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BMO Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BMO Global Consumer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3023.8024.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4123.9124.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.9823.4823.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.4523.9624.47
Details

BMO Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BMO Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BMO Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BMO Global Consumer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BMO Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

BMO Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BMO Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BMO Global Consumer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BMO Global Consumer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.45% of its assets in stocks

BMO Global Technical Analysis

BMO Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMO Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BMO Global Consumer. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMO Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BMO Global Predictive Forecast Models

BMO Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many BMO Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BMO Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BMO Global Consumer

Checking the ongoing alerts about BMO Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BMO Global Consumer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BMO Global Consumer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.45% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in BMO Etf

BMO Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMO Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMO with respect to the benefits of owning BMO Global security.