Swiss Steel (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.45

STLN Stock  CHF 5.95  3.24  119.56%   
Swiss Steel's future price is the expected price of Swiss Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swiss Steel Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swiss Steel Backtesting, Swiss Steel Valuation, Swiss Steel Correlation, Swiss Steel Hype Analysis, Swiss Steel Volatility, Swiss Steel History as well as Swiss Steel Performance.
  
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Swiss Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 1.45

The tendency of Swiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 1.45  or more in 90 days
 5.95 90 days 1.45 
nearly 4.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swiss Steel to drop to ₣ 1.45  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.4 (This Swiss Steel Holding probability density function shows the probability of Swiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swiss Steel Holding price to stay between ₣ 1.45  and its current price of ₣5.95 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swiss Steel Holding has a beta of -3.85. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Swiss Steel Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Swiss Steel is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Swiss Steel Holding has an alpha of 2.0056, implying that it can generate a 2.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Swiss Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swiss Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiss Steel Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.305.9525.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9923.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.136.3426.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.722.534.34
Details

Swiss Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swiss Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swiss Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swiss Steel Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swiss Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Swiss Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swiss Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swiss Steel Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Steel Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Swiss Steel Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Swiss Steel Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Swiss Steel Holding has accumulated about 89 M in cash with (135.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Swiss Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swiss Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swiss Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments92.5 M

Swiss Steel Technical Analysis

Swiss Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swiss Steel Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swiss Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Swiss Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swiss Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swiss Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swiss Steel Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swiss Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swiss Steel Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swiss Steel Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Swiss Steel Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Swiss Steel Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Swiss Steel Holding has accumulated about 89 M in cash with (135.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Swiss Stock Analysis

When running Swiss Steel's price analysis, check to measure Swiss Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiss Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Swiss Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiss Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiss Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiss Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.