Semantix Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.46
| STIXDelisted Stock | USD 0.04 0.0006 1.41% |
Semantix |
Semantix Target Price Odds to finish below 0.46
The tendency of Semantix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.46 after 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.46 | about 68.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Semantix to stay under $ 0.46 after 90 days from now is about 68.05 (This Semantix probability density function shows the probability of Semantix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Semantix price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04 and $ 0.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Semantix has a beta of -9.11. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Semantix are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Semantix is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Semantix has an alpha of 1.113, implying that it can generate a 1.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Semantix Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Semantix
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semantix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Semantix Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Semantix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Semantix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Semantix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Semantix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -9.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Semantix Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Semantix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Semantix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Semantix is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Semantix has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Semantix has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Semantix currently holds 81.1 M in liabilities. Semantix has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Semantix's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 262.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (329.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.2 M. | |
| Semantix currently holds about 48.88 M in cash with (211.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 29.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Semantix Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Semantix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Semantix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Semantix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 338 M |
Semantix Technical Analysis
Semantix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Semantix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Semantix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Semantix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Semantix Predictive Forecast Models
Semantix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Semantix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Semantix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Semantix
Checking the ongoing alerts about Semantix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Semantix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Semantix is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Semantix has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Semantix has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Semantix currently holds 81.1 M in liabilities. Semantix has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Semantix's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 262.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (329.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.2 M. | |
| Semantix currently holds about 48.88 M in cash with (211.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 29.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Other Consideration for investing in Semantix Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Semantix check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Semantix's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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