Steelcast (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 629.54

STEELCAS   895.40  17.30  1.90%   
Steelcast's future price is the expected price of Steelcast instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Steelcast Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steelcast Backtesting, Steelcast Valuation, Steelcast Correlation, Steelcast Hype Analysis, Steelcast Volatility, Steelcast History as well as Steelcast Performance.
  
Please specify Steelcast's target price for which you would like Steelcast odds to be computed.

Steelcast Target Price Odds to finish below 629.54

The tendency of Steelcast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  629.54  or more in 90 days
 895.40 90 days 629.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steelcast to drop to  629.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Steelcast Limited probability density function shows the probability of Steelcast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steelcast Limited price to stay between  629.54  and its current price of 895.4 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Steelcast has a beta of 0.0859. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Steelcast average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Steelcast Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Steelcast Limited has an alpha of 0.2813, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Steelcast Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steelcast

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steelcast Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
892.22894.82897.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
856.98859.58984.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
960.39962.99965.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
730.78821.29911.80
Details

Steelcast Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steelcast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steelcast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steelcast Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steelcast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
35.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Steelcast Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steelcast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steelcast Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steelcast Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Steelcasts Stock Reaches 52-Week High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex in Past Year - MarketsMojo

Steelcast Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steelcast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steelcast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steelcast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.4 M

Steelcast Technical Analysis

Steelcast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steelcast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steelcast Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steelcast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steelcast Predictive Forecast Models

Steelcast's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steelcast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steelcast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steelcast Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steelcast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steelcast Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steelcast Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Steelcasts Stock Reaches 52-Week High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex in Past Year - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in Steelcast Stock

Steelcast financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steelcast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steelcast with respect to the benefits of owning Steelcast security.